WTPA22 PHFO 210245
TCMCP2

HURRICANE IOKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006
0300 UTC MON AUG 21 2006
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 163.8W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  15SW  55NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  40SE  15SW  55NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 163.8W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.2N 163.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 12.2N 165.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 13.6N 168.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.0N 170.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...115NE  60SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.5N 171.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...135NE  75SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.1N 173.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...155NE  75SE  75SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 19.9N 174.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 21.4N 175.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.5N 163.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MATSUDA