WTPA22 PHFO 202049
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM IOKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006
2100 UTC SUN AUG 20 2006
 
TROPICAL STORM IOKE IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE
ON MONDAY BUT WILL CONTINUE ON A TRACK SAFELY AWAY FROM
HAWAII.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 162.6W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE  15SW  25NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  40SE  15SW  25NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.3N 162.6W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.0N 161.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 12.1N 164.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  40SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 13.3N 167.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  65NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 14.5N 170.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  10SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...115NE  60SE  60SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.9N 172.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...135NE  75SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 18.4N 174.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT...155NE  75SE  75SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 20.8N 177.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 22.7N 178.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.3N 162.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER NASH