WTPA22 PHFO 231430
TCMCP2

HURRICANE IOKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006
1500 UTC WED AUG 23 2006
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JOHNSTON ISLAND.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 170.7W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  971 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT....... 85NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT.......140NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..190NE 120SE  90SW 160NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 170.7W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 170.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.3N 171.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 85NE  70SE  55SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 19.0N 172.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  55SW  75NW.
34 KT...145NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 19.7N 173.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  35NW.
50 KT... 90NE  75SE  55SW  75NW.
34 KT...145NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 20.3N 175.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 85NE  70SE  55SW  75NW.
34 KT...140NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 20.5N 177.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 85NE  65SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...135NE 110SE  85SW 115NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 19.5N 179.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 18.5N 178.3E
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 170.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER R BALLARD/HOUSTON