WTPA22 PHFO 221440
TCMCP2

HURRICANE IOKE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006
1500 UTC TUE AUG 22 2006
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR JOHNSTON ISLAND.
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 168.8W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  946 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  70SE  55SW  75NW.
34 KT.......160NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..160NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 168.8W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 168.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 16.6N 169.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 85NE  65SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 17.7N 171.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 85NE  65SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 18.5N 172.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  65NW.
34 KT...140NE 100SE  75SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 19.3N 173.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  55SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 20.5N 175.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  55NW.
34 KT...130NE  80SE  60SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 21.4N 177.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 22.0N 179.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 168.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER MATSUDA