WTPA45 PHFO 141440
TCDCP5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C DISCUSSION NUMBER   4
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP042006
500 AM HST SAT OCT 14 2006

RECENT SATELLITE IMAGERY HAS SHOWN AN EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER...LLCC. THE LLCC HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHEAST WHILE THE 
DEEP CONVECTION HAS BEEN SHEARED AWAY OVER 200 NM EAST NORTHEAST OF
THE CENTER. WITH THE SYSTEM SHEARING LIKE THIS...THERE IS LITTLE
LIKELIHOOD THAT IT WILL PERSIST LONG AS A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...SO
THESE WILL BE THE FINAL ADVISORIES FROM CPHC.
 
ALTHOUGH THE WIND FIELD AROUND FOUR-C HAS BECOME RATHER WEAK...THE
REMNANT OF THE SYSTEM STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HEAVY
RAINFALL. A TROUGH ALOFT AND AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONT ARE MOVING
OVER THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS FROM THE NORTHWEST. MOISTURE FROM
FOUR-C IS FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHEAST AND ENHANCE PRECIPITATION
ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT AND TROUGH ALOFT.
 
ALTHOUGH WE WILL BE ISSUING NO MORE ADVISORIES ON FOUR-C...PEOPLE IN
THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD REFER TO THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH AND
OTHER FORECAST PRODUCTS FROM WFO HONOLULU FOR MORE INFORMATION ON
THE DEVELOPING WEATHER OVER THE ISLANDS.
  
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      14/1500Z 13.0N 165.5W    25 KT
 12HR VT     15/0000Z 13.0N 165.5W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
  
$$
FORECASTER DONALDSON