WTPA42 PHFO 200252
TCDCP2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C DISCUSSION NUMBER   1
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012006
500 PM HST SAT AUG 19 2006

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C HAS FORMED NEAR 10N 158W AFTER
BECOMING MORE ORGANIZED SINCE EARLY THIS MORNING. CONDITIONS
SURROUNDING THE DEPRESSION LOOK FAVORABLE FOR FURTHER
DEVELOPMENT...WARM SSTS NEAR 28 DEGREES C AND NONSHEARING
UNTIL THE FIFTH DAY WHEN APPROACHING THE HIGH LEVEL WESTERLIES
OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW FAR NORTHWEST OF HAWAII. PRIOR TO THE
SHEARING ONE-CS PATH SHOULD GRADUALLY TURN MORE NORTHWESTERLY
AS IT APPROACHES THE LOW. SSTS WILL REMAIN WARM ALL ALONG ITS
PROJECTED PATH.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      20/0300Z 10.1N 158.2W    25 KT
 12HR VT     20/1200Z 10.5N 159.7W    30 KT
 24HR VT     21/0000Z 11.2N 162.1W    35 KT
 36HR VT     21/1200Z 11.9N 164.9W    45 KT
 48HR VT     22/0000Z 13.3N 167.8W    50 KT
 72HR VT     23/0000Z 16.4N 171.4W    65 KT
 96HR VT     24/0000Z 19.4N 173.0W    65 KT
120HR VT     25/0000Z 22.6N 173.5W    60 KT
 
$$
FORECASTER MATSUDA