FOPA13 PHFO 200842 PWSCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022006 0900 UTC WED SEP 20 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 163.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT JOHNSTON ISL 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 10N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 15N 175W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 21(26) 4(30) 1(31) 15N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 116N 1650W 34 29 8(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) 12 116N 1650W 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 12 116N 1650W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 123N 1677W 34 1 20(21) 9(30) X(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) 24 123N 1677W 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 24 123N 1677W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 132N 1701W 34 X 2( 2) 22(24) 10(34) 2(36) X(36) X(36) 36 132N 1701W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 36 132N 1701W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 138N 1723W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 20(25) 9(34) 1(35) 1(36) 48 138N 1723W 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 48 138N 1723W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 142N 1762W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 9(29) 2(31) 72 142N 1762W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) 72 142N 1762W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 96 144N 1793W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) 4(22) 96 144N 1793W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 96 144N 1793W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 120 148N 1775E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) 120 148N 1775E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 120 148N 1775E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 35 40 45 50 55 55 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER DONALDSON