FOPA13 PHFO 200248 PWSCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022006 0300 UTC WED SEP 20 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT JOHNSTON ISL 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 10N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) 15N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 23(26) 9(35) 2(37) 15N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) 1(12) 15N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 20N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 110N 1638W 34 29 10(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) 12 110N 1638W 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 12 110N 1638W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 117N 1666W 34 1 30(31) 10(41) X(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) 24 117N 1666W 50 X 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 24 117N 1666W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 125N 1691W 34 X 2( 2) 29(31) 11(42) 2(44) X(44) X(44) 36 125N 1691W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) 36 125N 1691W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 134N 1716W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 24(29) 12(41) 2(43) X(43) 48 134N 1716W 50 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12) 48 134N 1716W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 72 141N 1749W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 24(28) 9(37) 2(39) 72 141N 1749W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) 1(12) 72 141N 1749W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 96 145N 1781W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 15(23) 5(28) 96 145N 1781W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 96 145N 1781W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 120 145N 1790E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 7(16) 120 145N 1790E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 120 145N 1790E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 50 60 65 65 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER KODAMA