FOPA13 PHFO 190830 PWSCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022006 0900 UTC TUE SEP 19 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 158.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 160W 34 37 18(55) X(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) 10N 160W 50 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) JOHNSTON ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 4(15) 1(16) JOHNSTON ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 10N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) 15N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 19(25) 7(32) 15N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) 15N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 20N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 103N 1598W 34 43 17(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) 12 103N 1598W 50 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 12 103N 1598W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 108N 1620W 34 1 42(43) 12(55) 2(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) 24 108N 1620W 50 X 8( 8) 7(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) 1(16) 24 108N 1620W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 114N 1642W 34 X 6( 6) 39(45) 12(57) 3(60) X(60) X(60) 36 114N 1642W 50 X X( X) 12(12) 8(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) 36 114N 1642W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 48 120N 1665W 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 32(44) 16(60) 1(61) X(61) 48 120N 1665W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 8(22) X(22) X(22) 48 120N 1665W 64 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 72 134N 1711W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 34(36) 12(48) 2(50) 72 134N 1711W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 6(18) 1(19) 72 134N 1711W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) 96 144N 1743W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 22(31) 5(36) 96 144N 1743W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) 96 144N 1743W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 120 148N 1765W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15(17) 7(24) 120 148N 1765W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 120 148N 1765W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 45 55 65 75 80 80 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER TANABE/HOUSTON