FOPA13 PHFO 190243 PWSCP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP022006 0300 UTC TUE SEP 19 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 157.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 160W 34 5 22(27) 4(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) 10N 160W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 160W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) JOHNSTON ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 15(26) 3(29) JOHNSTON ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 1( 8) JOHNSTON ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 10N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 15N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 8(22) 15N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 20N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 104N 1592W 34 14 11(25) 1(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) 12 104N 1592W 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 12 104N 1592W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 107N 1612W 34 1 30(31) 15(46) 2(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) 24 107N 1612W 50 X 5( 5) 5(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 24 107N 1612W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 112N 1632W 34 X 5( 5) 40(45) 12(57) 3(60) X(60) X(60) 36 112N 1632W 50 X X( X) 12(12) 8(20) 2(22) X(22) 1(23) 36 112N 1632W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 48 119N 1651W 34 X 1( 1) 15(16) 29(45) 16(61) 1(62) X(62) 48 119N 1651W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 9(23) X(23) X(23) 48 119N 1651W 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 72 137N 1686W 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 33(38) 12(50) 2(52) 72 137N 1686W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 6(20) 1(21) 72 137N 1686W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) 96 153N 1723W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 23(30) 7(37) 96 153N 1723W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 2(11) 96 153N 1723W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 120 164N 1753W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) 9(21) 120 164N 1753W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 120 164N 1753W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 40 55 65 75 80 80 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER NASH