FOPA11 PHFO 260233 PWSCP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 37 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052006 0300 UTC WED JUL 26 2006 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) X(11) X(11) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) BUOY 50002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 163N 1438W 34 18 4(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) 12 163N 1438W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 12 163N 1438W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 167N 1453W 34 2 8(10) 3(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 24 167N 1453W 50 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 167N 1453W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 171N 1476W 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 36 171N 1476W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 171N 1476W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 177N 1505W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) 48 177N 1505W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 177N 1505W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 191N 1564W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) 72 191N 1564W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 191N 1564W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 208N 1626W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 96 208N 1626W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 208N 1626W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 220N 1690W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 120 220N 1690W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 220N 1690W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 25 25 25 25 25 25 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER KODAMA/DONALDSON