FOPA11 PHFO 251430 PWSCP1 TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 35 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052006 1500 UTC TUE JUL 25 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 1 3( 4) 5( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) 20N 145W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 3(14) X(14) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) X(13) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) 1(13) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 1(12) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) BUOY 50002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 163N 1432W 34 71 4(75) 1(76) 1(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) 12 163N 1432W 50 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 12 163N 1432W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 165N 1441W 34 19 17(36) 5(41) 2(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) 24 165N 1441W 50 1 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 24 165N 1441W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 169N 1455W 34 1 7( 8) 13(21) 5(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) 36 169N 1455W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 36 169N 1455W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 174N 1475W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 13(18) 5(23) X(23) X(23) 48 174N 1475W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 48 174N 1475W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 188N 1533W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 4(14) X(14) 72 188N 1533W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 72 188N 1533W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 201N 1601W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) 96 201N 1601W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 201N 1601W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 213N 1667W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 120 213N 1667W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 213N 1667W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 35 35 35 35 35 35 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER TANABE