FOPA11 PHFO 250913 PWSCP1 TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 34 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052006 0900 UTC TUE JUL 25 2006 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 142.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 5 11(16) 3(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) 20N 145W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) 4(17) X(17) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) 1(14) HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 1(14) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) 1(12) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) BUOY 50002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 163N 1438W 34 83 5(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) 12 163N 1438W 50 27 6(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) 12 163N 1438W 64 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 24 166N 1453W 34 13 38(51) 6(57) 1(58) 1(59) X(59) X(59) 24 166N 1453W 50 1 10(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 24 166N 1453W 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 170N 1467W 34 1 14(15) 15(30) 6(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38) 36 170N 1467W 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 36 170N 1467W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 174N 1480W 34 X 2( 2) 11(13) 10(23) 6(29) 1(30) X(30) 48 174N 1480W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 48 174N 1480W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 187N 1530W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 5(17) X(17) 72 187N 1530W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 72 187N 1530W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 203N 1578W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) 96 203N 1578W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 203N 1578W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 217N 1640W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 120 217N 1640W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 217N 1640W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 50 45 40 40 40 35 35 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER HOUSTON