FOPA11 PHFO 242030 PWSCP1 HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052006 2100 UTC MON JUL 24 2006 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 141.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 2 13(15) 5(20) 1(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) 15N 145W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 145W 34 1 3( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15(18) 5(23) 1(24) BUOY 50004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10(16) 2(18) HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 10(15) 3(18) SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14) 3(17) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 3(15) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 4(14) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 4(13) BUOY 50002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 165N 1432W 34 91 5(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) 12 165N 1432W 50 68 11(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) 12 165N 1432W 64 37 10(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) 24 170N 1449W 34 11 58(69) 8(77) 1(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79) 24 170N 1449W 50 2 35(37) 7(44) 1(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) 24 170N 1449W 64 X 14(14) 2(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) 36 173N 1466W 34 1 20(21) 32(53) 7(60) 2(62) X(62) X(62) 36 173N 1466W 50 X 4( 4) 16(20) 4(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) 36 173N 1466W 64 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 48 178N 1485W 34 X 3( 3) 15(18) 18(36) 9(45) X(45) X(45) 48 178N 1485W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) 48 178N 1485W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 72 185N 1523W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 17(20) 5(25) 1(26) 72 185N 1523W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 72 185N 1523W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 96 199N 1566W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 3(15) 96 199N 1566W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 96 199N 1566W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 215N 1613W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 120 215N 1613W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 120 215N 1613W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 75 65 60 55 50 50 50 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER POWELL