FOPA11 PHFO 241430 PWSCP1 HURRICANE DANIEL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP052006 1500 UTC MON JUL 24 2006 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DANIEL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 2 8(10) 7(17) 2(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) 15N 145W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 145W 34 1 5( 6) 7(13) 3(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 6(17) 1(18) BUOY 50004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 4(16) HILO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 4(14) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 5(15) KAHULUI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 5(12) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) BUOY 50002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) HONOLULU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) LIHUE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) NIIHAU 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 166N 1422W 34 93 4(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) 12 166N 1422W 50 71 10(81) X(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) 12 166N 1422W 64 38 10(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) X(48) 24 171N 1439W 34 19 53(72) 8(80) 1(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) 24 171N 1439W 50 3 35(38) 7(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) 24 171N 1439W 64 X 14(14) 3(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) 36 175N 1456W 34 2 22(24) 30(54) 7(61) 2(63) X(63) X(63) 36 175N 1456W 50 X 4( 4) 15(19) 4(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) 36 175N 1456W 64 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 48 179N 1474W 34 X 4( 4) 18(22) 16(38) 8(46) 1(47) X(47) 48 179N 1474W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) 48 179N 1474W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 72 187N 1512W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 17(20) 6(26) 1(27) 72 187N 1512W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) 72 187N 1512W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) 96 196N 1549W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 3(16) 96 196N 1549W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 96 196N 1549W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 213N 1597W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 120 213N 1597W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 213N 1597W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 75 65 60 55 50 50 50 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER HOUSTON