WTPA24 PHFO 272045
TCMCP4

TROPICAL STORM KENNETH FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  53
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP112005
2100Z TUE SEP 27 2005
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 142.2W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 142.2W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 142.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 15.7N 142.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 55NE  40SE  40SW  55NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 16.7N 144.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 17.6N 145.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.3N 147.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 18.7N 150.9W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 18.8N 154.6W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15N 142W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
 
FORECASTER MATSUDA
 
 
$$