WTPA23 PHFO 220245
TCMCP3

HURRICANE JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  41
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP102005
0300Z THU SEP 22 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 147.5W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 100SE  95SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 100SE  95SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 147.5W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N 147.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.2N 148.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  95SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 20.3N 149.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  95SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 21.8N 150.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT...115NE  95SE  90SW 115NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 23.8N 151.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  85SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 28.8N 152.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  85SE  80SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 34.9N 153.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 42.5N 153.9W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.4N 147.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
FORECASTER POWELL
 
$$