WTPA23 PHFO 210245
TCMCP3

HURRICANE JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP102005
0300Z WED SEP 21 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 145.8W AT 21/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  960 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 65NE  60SE  55SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 130SE 120SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..160NE 130SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.1N 145.8W AT 21/0300Z
AT 21/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.9N 145.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 17.6N 146.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 65NE  55SE  50SW  55NW.
34 KT...160NE 130SE 120SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 18.4N 147.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
34 KT...155NE 125SE 115SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 19.4N 148.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT...145NE 115SE 105SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 20.5N 149.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
34 KT...125NE 105SE  95SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 23.6N 151.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
34 KT...115NE  95SE  85SW 110NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/0000Z 27.9N 153.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 33.1N 155.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.1N 145.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0900Z
 
FORECASTER POWELL
 
 
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