WTPA23 PHFO 190230
TCMCP3

HURRICANE JOVA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP102005
0300Z MON SEP 19 2005
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 141.5W AT 19/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..140NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.6N 141.5W AT 19/0300Z
AT 19/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.4N 141.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 15.2N 142.5W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 15.8N 143.7W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 16.3N 144.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 16.9N 145.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 17.7N 146.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0000Z 19.3N 147.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 24/0000Z 21.6N 149.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.6N 141.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0900Z
 
FORECASTER CRAIG
 
 
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