WTPA44 PHFO 301428
TCDCP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION KENNETH DISCUSSION NUMBER  64
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
500 AM HST FRI SEP 30 2005

TROPICAL DEPRESSION KENNETH REMAINS A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION DEVOID
OF THUNDERSTORMS. DATA T-NUMBERS COULD NOT BE COMPUTED BECAUSE OF
THE LACK OF DEEP CONVECTION...BUT MODEL T-NUMBERS YIELDED CURRENT
INTENSITIES OF 1.0 AND 1.5 FROM THE VARIOUS SATELLITE AGENCIES. THE
OFFICIAL INTENSITY REMAINS AT 25 KT...AND THE INITIAL MOTION IS
270/11.
 
STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR WELL IN EXCESS OF 30 KT CONTINUES ACROSS
KENNETH. THE SHEAR...WHICH IS ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LEVEL LOW
NORTHEAST OF HAWAII...WILL PREVENT KENNETH FROM INTENSIFYING. IN
FACT...KENNETH IS FORECAST TO DISSIPATE WITHIN 24 HOURS DUE TO THE
SHEAR AND DUE TO THE LARGE MAUNA KEA AND MAUNA LOA VOLCANOES DEAD
AHEAD OF HIM. THE FORECAST TRACK...WHICH MOVES KENNETH ACROSS THE
BIG ISLAND...IS CLOSEST TO BAMS.
 
FORECASTER CRAIG
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      30/1500Z 19.3N 153.9W    25 KT
 12HR VT     01/0000Z 19.4N 155.6W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 24HR VT     01/1200Z 19.7N 157.6W    25 KT...DISSIPATED
 
 
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