WTPA44 PHFO 280232
TCDCP4

TROPICAL STORM KENNETH DISCUSSION NUMBER  54
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
500 PM HST TUE SEP 27 2005

ALTHO A REPOSITIONING OF TROPICAL STORM KENNETH GIVES IT A RAPID
ACCELERATION IT IS STILL FOLLOWING THE PROJECTED NORTHWESTWARD
PATH...WE WILL CONTINUE TO FOLLOW THE LAST FORECAST PACKAGE EXCEPT
FOR A SLIGHT INCREASE IN SYSTEM SPEED. KENNETH IS HEADING TOWARD
STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND SHOULD
EXPERIENCE SIGNIFICANT SHEARING AND WEAKENING. THE MOST RECENT
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE LEADING EDGE OF KENNETHS CBS
FLATTENING...A POSSIBLE SIGN OF EARLY SHEARING. AFTER SHEARING
AND DISSIPATION WE CONTINUE TO PROJECT A MORE WESTERLY TRACK
TOWARD THE BIG ISLAND.
 
FORECASTER MATSUDA
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      28/0300Z 16.2N 143.2W    45 KT
 12HR VT     28/1200Z 17.1N 144.2W    45 KT
 24HR VT     29/0000Z 18.2N 145.7W    40 KT
 36HR VT     29/1200Z 18.9N 147.4W    35 KT
 48HR VT     30/0000Z 19.2N 149.2W    30 KT
 72HR VT     01/0000Z 19.6N 153.2W    25 KT...DISSIPATING
 96HR VT     02/0000Z 19.6N 157.3W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 
 
$$