FOPA14 PHFO 301430 PWSCP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KENNETH PROBABILITIES NUMBER 64 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 1500Z FRI SEP 30 2005 ...THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR 2005... AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KENNETH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH... LONGITUDE 153.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS... 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR. CHANCES OF EXPERIENCING WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME (GREENWICH) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT HILO 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SOUTH POINT 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) KAILUA-KONA 34 2 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 194N 1556W 34 2 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 12 194N 1556W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12 194N 1556W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 197N 1576W 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 24 197N 1576W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 197N 1576W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 25 25 0 0 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) FORECASTER CRAIG $$