FOPA14 PHFO 261435 PWSCP4 TROPICAL STORM KENNETH PROBABILITIES NUMBER 48 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 1500Z MON SEP 26 2005 ...THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR 2005... AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KENNETH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH... LONGITUDE 141.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS... 70 MPH...110 KM/HR. CHANCES OF EXPERIENCING WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME (GREENWICH) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 1 5( 6) 11(17) 5(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) 1( 8) BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 149N 1418W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 149N 1418W 50 36 7(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) 12 149N 1418W 64 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 24 154N 1428W 34 34 30(64) 5(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) 24 154N 1428W 50 2 14(16) 3(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) 24 154N 1428W 64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 36 162N 1440W 34 2 17(19) 19(38) 6(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) 36 162N 1440W 50 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 36 162N 1440W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 171N 1454W 34 1 2( 3) 11(14) 11(25) 5(30) 1(31) X(31) 48 171N 1454W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 48 171N 1454W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 186N 1481W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 8(12) 2(14) X(14) 72 186N 1481W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 72 186N 1481W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 199N 1510W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 96 199N 1510W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 199N 1510W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 209N 1541W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 120 209N 1541W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 209N 1541W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 55 50 45 40 35 30 25 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) FORECASTER HOUSTON/DONALDSON $$