FOPA13 PHFO 221450 PWSCP3 HURRICANE JOVA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 43 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 1500Z THU SEP 22 2005 ...THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR 2005... AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOVA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 148.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 80 KTS... 90 MPH...150 KM/HR. CHANCES OF EXPERIENCING WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME (GREENWICH) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 145W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 207N 1490W 34 95 3(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) 12 207N 1490W 50 68 10(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) 12 207N 1490W 64 29 7(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) 24 221N 1502W 34 19 55(74) 8(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) 24 221N 1502W 50 1 35(36) 8(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) 24 221N 1502W 64 X 11(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 36 241N 1514W 34 2 12(14) 37(51) 6(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) 36 241N 1514W 50 X 1( 1) 14(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 36 241N 1514W 64 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 264N 1528W 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 19(28) 5(33) 1(34) X(34) 48 264N 1528W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 48 264N 1528W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 314N 1545W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 4(14) X(14) 72 314N 1545W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 72 314N 1545W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 366N 1547W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 96 366N 1547W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 366N 1547W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 401N 1492W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 120 401N 1492W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 401N 1492W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 70 65 55 45 35 35 35 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) FORECASTER HOUSTON $$