FOPA13 PHFO 220850 PWSCP3 HURRICANE JOVA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 42 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 0900Z THU SEP 22 2005 ...THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR 2005... AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOVA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 147.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/HR. CHANCES OF EXPERIENCING WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME (GREENWICH) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 145W 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) BUOY 50004 34 2 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 198N 1484W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 12 198N 1484W 50 76 9(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) 12 198N 1484W 64 41 11(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) 24 211N 1494W 34 41 42(83) 6(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) 24 211N 1494W 50 4 40(44) 7(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) 24 211N 1494W 64 X 16(16) 3(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) 36 228N 1506W 34 2 21(23) 31(54) 6(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61) 36 228N 1506W 50 X 3( 3) 14(17) 3(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) 36 228N 1506W 64 X 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 48 249N 1519W 34 X 2( 2) 10(12) 17(29) 4(33) 1(34) X(34) 48 249N 1519W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 48 249N 1519W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 307N 1543W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) 72 307N 1543W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 72 307N 1543W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 370N 1542W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 96 370N 1542W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 370N 1542W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 425N 1502W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 120 425N 1502W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 425N 1502W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 80 70 55 45 35 35 35 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) FORECASTER HOUSTON $$