FOPA12 PHFO 042030 PWSCP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 2100Z THU AUG 04 2005 ...THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR 2005... AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH... LONGITUDE 144.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS... 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR. CHANCES OF EXPERIENCING WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME (GREENWICH) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 152N 1465W 34 7 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 12 152N 1465W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 12 152N 1465W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 153N 1489W 34 X 10(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 24 153N 1489W 50 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 153N 1489W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 154N 1513W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 36 154N 1513W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 154N 1513W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 154N 1538W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 48 154N 1538W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 154N 1538W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 25 25 20 20 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) FORECASTER KODAMA $$