FOPA12 PHFO 040846 PWSCP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI 0900Z THU AUG 04 2005 ...THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR 2005... AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-C WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 142.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS... 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR. CHANCES OF EXPERIENCING WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME (GREENWICH) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 145W 34 1 12(13) 3(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) 15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 159N 1433W 34 15 7(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) 12 159N 1433W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 12 159N 1433W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 161N 1456W 34 1 22(23) 7(30) 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) 24 161N 1456W 50 X 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 24 161N 1456W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 161N 1480W 34 X 3( 3) 17(20) 4(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) 36 161N 1480W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 36 161N 1480W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 161N 1506W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18) 48 161N 1506W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 48 161N 1506W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 161N 1560W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) 72 161N 1560W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 161N 1560W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 156N 1615W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) 96 156N 1615W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 96 156N 1615W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 149N 1667W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 120 149N 1667W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 149N 1667W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 35 35 30 25 25 20 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) FORECASTER POWELL $$