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NOAA > NWS > CPHC > FLOSSIE Archive > HURRICANE FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
HURRICANE FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13

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WTPA22 PHFO 112050
TCMCP2

HURRICANE FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092007
2100 UTC SAT AUG 11 2007

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 141.1W AT 11/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 949 MB
EYE DIAMETER 15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT....... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 90SE 90SW 90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 141.1W AT 11/2100Z AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 140.6W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 13.4N 142.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 25NE 20SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 60SW 75NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 13.9N 144.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 14.5N 147.0W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.2N 149.2W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 50SE 50SW 60NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 16.7N 153.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 18.1N 157.4W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 19.5N 160.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 141.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER KODAMA

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