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Issued: Jul 06, 2015 20:00 pm HST

800 PM HST MON JUL 6 2015

For the central north Pacific, between 140°W and 180.

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a large area of low pressure located about 1350 miles east southeast of Hilo, Hawaii continue to gradually become better organized. However, satellite data suggest that the low does not have a well-defined low-level center at this time. Environmental conditions are expected to remain conducive for continued development, and a tropical cyclone will likely form during the next day or two as this system moves toward the west northwest at 15 to 20 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours, high, 70 percent.

2. Persistent showers and thunderstorms near a weak, nearly stationary surface low are located about 775 miles south southeast of Hilo, Hawaii. This system remains disorganized this evening, and environmental conditions do not appear to be favorable for significant development in this area during the next two days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours, low, 10 percent.

3. A persistent area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 1100 miles south southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii has become slightly better organized this evening. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for some slow development of this nearly stationary system through early Wednesday evening.

* Formation chance through 48 hours, low, 30 percent.

Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected through Wednesday evening.

Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook


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List of Central Pacific Outlooks (June 2010-present)