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Issued: Jul 06, 2015 02:00 am HST

200 AM HST MON JUL 6 2015

For the central north Pacific, between 140°W and 180.

1. A large area of disturbed weather associated with a low pressure system located about 1700 miles east-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii has become a little better organized. Thunderstorm activity has increased in the past 6 hours, and the environmental conditions are steadily becoming more conducive for development. A tropical depression could form by Tuesday. The system is moving to the west-northwest at about 15 mph.

* Formation chance through 48 hours, medium, 60 percent.

2. A weak surface low is producing an area of disturbed weather centered about 680 miles southeast of Hilo, Hawaii. This system remains disorganized, but environmental conditions may become a little more favorable for some gradual development over the next couple of days while it remains nearly stationary.

* Formation chance through 48 hours, low, 10 percent.

3. Thunderstorm activity around a weak, nearly stationary, low pressure area about 1000 miles southwest of Honolulu, Hawaii remains minimal. Conditions are not expected to become favorable for development through late Tuesday night.

* Formation chance through 48 hours, low, 10 percent.

Elsewhere, no tropical cyclones are expected through late Tuesday night.

Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook


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List of Central Pacific Outlooks (June 2010-present)