Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP5.EP192015.027.201510211443 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA15 PHFO 211443
PWSCP5

HURRICANE OLAF WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  27                  
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP192015         
500 am HST Wed Oct 21 2015
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLAF WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 144.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105  
KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H.                                           
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun 2am Mon
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
10N 145W       34  5   3( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
15N 145W       34 15  34(49)  11(60)   2(62)   2(64)   X(64)   X(64)
15N 145W       50  1   5( 6)   4(10)   2(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)
15N 145W       64  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)  28(34)   7(41)   1(42)
20N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   5(13)   X(13)
20N 145W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
25N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   2(11)
 
10N 150W       34  1   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
15N 150W       34  1   4( 5)   9(14)   9(23)   3(26)   1(27)   X(27)
15N 150W       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
15N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  14(18)   5(23)   1(24)
20N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
20N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
25N 150W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)
 
20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   4(15)   X(15)
20N 151W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
$$
                                                              
FORECASTER BIRCHARD