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NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP5.EP142016.011.201608290840 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA15 PHFO 290840
PWSCP5

HURRICANE MADELINE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11              
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP142016         
1100 pm HST Sun Aug 28 2016
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MADELINE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
17.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8pm Sun 8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8pm Wed 8pm Thu
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8am Mon 8pm Mon 8am Tue 8pm Tue 8pm Wed 8pm Thu 8pm Fri
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
20N 145W       34 19  18(37)   2(39)   X(39)   X(39)   1(40)   X(40)
20N 145W       50  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
15N 150W       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
20N 150W       34  X   2( 2)  43(45)  31(76)   3(79)   X(79)   X(79)
20N 150W       50  X   X( X)   8( 8)  25(33)   3(36)   X(36)   X(36)
20N 150W       64  X   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
20N 151W       34  X   2( 2)  15(17)  45(62)  11(73)   X(73)   X(73)
20N 151W       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  21(22)   9(31)   X(31)   X(31)
20N 151W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   6(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  18(21)  33(54)   2(56)   X(56)
BUOY 51004     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  17(19)   1(20)   X(20)
BUOY 51004     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
20N 154W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)  44(52)   2(54)   X(54)
20N 154W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)   1(18)   1(19)
20N 154W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
15N 155W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   5(14)   1(15)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  42(46)   7(53)   X(53)
HILO           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   4(19)   X(19)
HILO           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
BRADSHAW AAF   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  36(39)   9(48)   1(49)
BRADSHAW AAF   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   6(16)   X(16)
BRADSHAW AAF   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
18N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  37(38)  21(59)   1(60)
18N 156W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  11(21)   X(21)
18N 156W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  42(45)  15(60)   1(61)
SOUTH POINT    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)  10(25)   X(25)
SOUTH POINT    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)
 
21N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)   8(25)   X(25)
21N 156W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
21N 156W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  33(34)  13(47)   X(47)
KAILUA-KONA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   6(14)   X(14)
KAILUA-KONA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)  10(25)   X(25)
KAHULUI        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
KAHULUI        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
21N 158W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  10(17)   2(19)
21N 158W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
21N 158W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
BARKING SANDS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)
 
HANA           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  20(21)   8(29)   X(29)
HANA           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)
HANA           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  11(24)   1(25)
LANAI CITY     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)
LANAI CITY     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   9(19)   X(19)
KAUNAKAKAI     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
KAUNAKAKAI     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  32(42)   4(46)
BUOY 51002     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   1(13)
BUOY 51002     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   9(15)   1(16)
HONOLULU       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
JOINT BASE PHH 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   9(15)   X(15)
JOINT BASE PHH 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)
 
15N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   9(20)
15N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
20N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  14(16)   4(20)
20N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)
 
21N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   2(12)
 
BUOY 51003     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)   9(26)
BUOY 51003     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)
BUOY 51003     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
22N 164W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
15N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
 
20N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER POWELL