Wind speed probabilities
Requested PWSCP5.EP112009.013.0908251448 with times in HST
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FOPA15 PHFO 251448
PWSCP5

TROPICAL STORM HILDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13            
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP112009         
500 am HST Tue Aug 25 2009
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HILDA WAS LOCATED NEAR        
LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 148.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       X       1       1       1       1       1
TROP DEPRESSION  3       4       8       6       6       5       7
TROPICAL STORM  92      77      68      57      52      44      51
HURRICANE        6      20      23      36      42      50      41
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        5      17      20      28      30      35      30
HUR CAT 2        1       2       3       6       9      10       8
HUR CAT 3        X       X       1       2       3       4       3
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   50KT    55KT    55KT    60KT    65KT    70KT    70KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2am Tue 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Fri 2am Sat 2am Sun
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BUOY 51004     34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)  12(15)   8(23)   1(24)
BUOY 51002     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
BUOY 51002     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)
 
10N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   1(10)
 
15N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)  27(44)   5(49)
15N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  14(17)   2(19)
15N 160W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)
 
20N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)
 
BUOY 51003     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   3(12)
 
JOHNSTON ISL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)
JOHNSTON ISL   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CRAIG