FOPA15 PHFO 140245
PWSCP5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP042006
500 pm HST Fri Oct 13 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 165.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Sat 2am Sun 2pm Sun 2pm Mon 2pm Tue
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Sat 2pm Sat 2am Sun 2pm Sun 2pm Mon 2pm Tue 2pm Wed
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
15N 160W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Fri 2am Sat 2pm Sat 2am Sun 2pm Sun 2pm Mon 2pm Tue
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Sat 2pm Sat 2am Sun 2pm Sun 2pm Mon 2pm Tue 2pm Wed
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 152N 1642W 34 17 7(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
12 152N 1642W 50 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
12 152N 1642W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 160N 1626W 34 1 14(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
24 160N 1626W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 160N 1626W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 163N 1607W 34 X 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
36 163N 1607W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 163N 1607W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 30 25 0 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER NASH