FOPA15 PHFO 132051
PWSCP5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP042006
1100 am HST Fri Oct 13 2006
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-C WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 166.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 146N 1653W 34 18 6(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
12 146N 1653W 50 1 X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
12 146N 1653W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 154N 1639W 34 1 14(15) 3(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
24 154N 1639W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 154N 1639W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
36 161N 1620W 34 X 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
36 161N 1620W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 161N 1620W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 30 25 0 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER NASH