Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP5.CP022014.021.1410182028 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA15 PHFO 182028
PWSCP5

HURRICANE ANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21                   
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014         
1100 am HST Sat Oct 18 2014
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 
NORTH...LONGITUDE 158.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70   
KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H.                                            
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8am Sat 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8pm Sat 8am Sun 8pm Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed 8am Thu
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
KAILUA-KONA    34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
KAHULUI        34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
LANAI CITY     34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BUOY 51002     34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HONOLULU       34  2   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
LIHUE          34  6   8(14)   2(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
NIIHAU         34  7  19(26)   4(30)   X(30)   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
20N 160W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
20N 160W       50 69   8(77)   1(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)   X(78)
20N 160W       64 18   9(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 
25N 160W       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)
 
BUOY 51003     34 19  19(38)   2(40)   1(41)   1(42)   X(42)   X(42)
BUOY 51003     50  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BUOY 51001     34  1   2( 3)   4( 7)   6(13)   6(19)   2(21)   1(22)
 
FR FRIG SHOALS 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  29(34)  16(50)   2(52)
FR FRIG SHOALS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   7(17)   1(18)
FR FRIG SHOALS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)
 
25N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
LAYSAN         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   7(14)
LAYSAN         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
LAYSAN         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
LISIANSKI      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
BARKING SANDS  34 20  16(36)   1(37)   1(38)   X(38)   X(38)   X(38)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER WROE