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NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP5.CP022014.017.1410172040 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA15 PHFO 172040
PWSCP5

HURRICANE ANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17                   
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014         
1100 am HST Fri Oct 17 2014
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 
NORTH...LONGITUDE 155.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65   
KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.                                            
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8am Fri 8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8pm Fri 8am Sat 8pm Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon 8am Tue 8am Wed
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HILO           34  2   3( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
SOUTH POINT    34 21  11(32)   2(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  3  16(19)   3(22)   1(23)   1(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
KAHULUI        34  2   5( 7)   7(14)   2(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
LANAI CITY     34  2  11(13)  11(24)   2(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  2   7( 9)  14(23)   3(26)   1(27)   X(27)   X(27)
 
BUOY 51002     34 29  21(50)   1(51)   1(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
BUOY 51002     50  1   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
BUOY 51002     64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
HONOLULU       34  1   7( 8)  21(29)   5(34)   2(36)   X(36)   X(36)
HONOLULU       50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
LIHUE          34  X   4( 4)  15(19)  15(34)   6(40)   X(40)   X(40)
LIHUE          50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
LIHUE          64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   2( 2)  11(13)  20(33)  11(44)   1(45)   X(45)
NIIHAU         50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   5(10)   X(10)   X(10)
NIIHAU         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
15N 160W       34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
20N 160W       34  1   8( 9)  40(49)  17(66)   5(71)   X(71)   X(71)
20N 160W       50  X   X( X)  10(10)  16(26)   5(31)   X(31)   X(31)
20N 160W       64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
25N 160W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)
 
BUOY 51003     34  1   4( 5)  20(25)  13(38)   6(44)   1(45)   X(45)
BUOY 51003     50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   4(11)   X(11)   X(11)
BUOY 51003     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BUOY 51001     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)  15(20)   5(25)   1(26)
BUOY 51001     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 
FR FRIG SHOALS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  16(20)   7(27)
FR FRIG SHOALS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)
FR FRIG SHOALS 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
LAYSAN         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
 
BARKING SANDS  34  X   4( 4)  19(23)  20(43)   8(51)   X(51)   X(51)
BARKING SANDS  50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   4(13)   X(13)   X(13)
BARKING SANDS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BRADSHAW AAF   34  2   8(10)   3(13)   1(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER WROE