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NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP5.CP022014.005.1410142037 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA15 PHFO 142037
PWSCP5

TROPICAL STORM ANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5              
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014         
1100 am HST Tue Oct 14 2014
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 144.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8am Tue 8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8pm Tue 8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34 69  10(79)   1(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)
15N 145W       50 13   7(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
15N 145W       64  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  46(55)   6(61)   1(62)
BUOY 51004     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  23(24)   6(30)   X(30)
BUOY 51004     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   4(14)   X(14)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  20(31)   7(38)
HILO           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   3(13)
HILO           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  26(37)   8(45)
SOUTH POINT    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)   3(15)
SOUTH POINT    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  22(28)   9(37)
KAILUA-KONA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)
KAILUA-KONA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)  10(25)
KAHULUI        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
KAHULUI        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)  11(25)
LANAI CITY     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)
LANAI CITY     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)  11(22)
KAUNAKAKAI     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)
KAUNAKAKAI     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)   7(23)
BUOY 51002     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)
BUOY 51002     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)  10(19)
HONOLULU       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
HONOLULU       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)
 
15N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
20N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   8(13)
20N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
20N 160W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
25N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
BUOY 51003     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)
 
BUOY 51001     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
BARKING SANDS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)
 
BRADSHAW AAF   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  21(29)   7(36)
BRADSHAW AAF   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   3(11)
BRADSHAW AAF   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
$$
                             
FORECASTER BIRCHARD