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NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP5.CP022014.001.1410132033 with times in UTC
Display as HST

FOPA15 PHFO 132033
PWSCP5

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1       
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022014         
2100 UTC MON OCT 13 2014                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
10N 145W       34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
15N 145W       34  1  21(22)  23(45)   7(52)   2(54)   1(55)   X(55)
15N 145W       50  X   2( 2)   8(10)   4(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)
15N 145W       64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  30(35)  13(48)
BUOY 51004     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   5(19)
BUOY 51004     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  17(28)
HILO           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)
HILO           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)  17(29)
SOUTH POINT    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)
SOUTH POINT    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  16(23)
KAILUA-KONA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
KAILUA-KONA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  13(17)
KAHULUI        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
KAHULUI        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)
LANAI CITY     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
LANAI CITY     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  12(14)
KAUNAKAKAI     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
KAUNAKAKAI     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   9(14)
BUOY 51002     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
BUOY 51002     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)
HONOLULU       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
 
15N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
20N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)
 
25N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
BUOY 51003     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
BARKING SANDS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)
 
BRADSHAW AAF   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  16(25)
BRADSHAW AAF   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)
BRADSHAW AAF   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD