Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP4.EP182015.022.201510142033 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA14 PHFO 142033
PWSCP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22        
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP182015         
1100 am HST Wed Oct 14 2015
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION NORA WAS LOCATED NEAR    
LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 151.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED   
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       8am Wed 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Thu 8am Fri 8am Sat 8am Sun 8am Mon
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BUOY 51004     34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
15N 155W       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
18N 156W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER R BALLARD