FOPA14 PHFO 292030
PWSCP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KENNETH PROBABILITIES NUMBER 61
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
2100Z THU SEP 29 2005
...THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR 2005...
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
KENNETH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 150.4 WEST WITH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS... 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF EXPERIENCING WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME (GREENWICH)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8am Thu 8am Thu
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8am Thu 8am Thu 8am Thu
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8am Thu 8am Thu
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8am Thu 8am Thu 8am Thu
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 195N 1520W 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
12 195N 1520W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
12 195N 1520W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 25 0 0 0 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
FORECASTER KODAMA/DONALDSON
$$