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      • » Wind speed probabilities

FOPA14 PHFO 291430
PWSCP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION KENNETH PROBABILITIES NUMBER  60                
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI                    
1500Z THU SEP 29 2005                                               
                                                                    
...THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR 2005...                      
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION                          
KENNETH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...                     
LONGITUDE 149.2 WEST WITH                                           
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  30 KTS... 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR.         
 
CHANCES OF EXPERIENCING WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
 
Z INDICATES UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME (GREENWICH)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT
 
HILO           34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   5(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   5(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)   3(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   5( 7)   5(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   1(11)   X(11)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
 HR POSITIONS  KT
 
 12 193N 1507W 34 12   4(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 12 193N 1507W 50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 12 193N 1507W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 198N 1528W 34  1   8( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 24 198N 1528W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 24 198N 1528W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 36 203N 1552W 34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   3(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 36 203N 1552W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 36 203N 1552W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 210N 1578W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   4(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 48 210N 1578W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 48 210N 1578W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 227N 1636W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   3(10)   X(10)
 72 227N 1636W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 227N 1636W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 96 250N 1689W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)
 96 250N 1689W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 96 250N 1689W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     25      25      25      25      25       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER CRAIG                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$