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FOPA14 PHFO 290830
PWSCP4

TROPICAL STORM KENNETH PROBABILITIES NUMBER  59                     
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI                    
0900Z THU SEP 29 2005                                               
                                                                    
...THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR 2005...                      
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM                               
KENNETH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...                     
LONGITUDE 147.9 WEST WITH                                           
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  35 KTS... 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR.         
 
CHANCES OF EXPERIENCING WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
 
Z INDICATES UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME (GREENWICH)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT
 
BUOY 50004     34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
 HR POSITIONS  KT
 
 12 190N 1494W 34 14   5(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 12 190N 1494W 50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 12 190N 1494W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 24 194N 1515W 34  X  13(13)   3(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 24 194N 1515W 50  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 24 194N 1515W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 198N 1539W 34  X   2( 2)   7( 9)   2(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 36 198N 1539W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 36 198N 1539W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 48 202N 1562W 34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 48 202N 1562W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 48 202N 1562W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 72 220N 1630W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 72 220N 1630W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 220N 1630W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     30     30      25      20      20       0       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER CRAIG                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$