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FOPA14 PHFO 280840
PWSCP4

TROPICAL STORM KENNETH PROBABILITIES NUMBER  55                     
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI                    
0900Z WED SEP 28 2005                                               
                                                                    
...THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR 2005...                      
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM                               
KENNETH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...                     
LONGITUDE 144.2 WEST WITH                                           
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  45 KTS... 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR.         
 
CHANCES OF EXPERIENCING WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
 
Z INDICATES UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME (GREENWICH)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT
 
20N 145W       34  7   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
BUOY 50004     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
 HR POSITIONS  KT
 
 12 182N 1456W 34 70   4(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
 12 182N 1456W 50  7   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 12 182N 1456W 64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 24 190N 1477W 34  4  31(35)   4(39)   X(39)   1(40)   X(40)   X(40)
 24 190N 1477W 50  X   5( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 24 190N 1477W 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 36 194N 1496W 34  1   7( 8)  13(21)   4(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 36 194N 1496W 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 36 194N 1496W 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 48 197N 1513W 34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)   5(12)   4(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 48 197N 1513W 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 48 197N 1513W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 72 198N 1545W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)   2(10)   X(10)
 72 198N 1545W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 72 198N 1545W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
 96 197N 1586W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
 96 197N 1586W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 96 197N 1586W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     45     40      35      30      25      20       0
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER PROTON/HOUSTON 
      
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$