National Weather Service

• • RSS Feeds
• Get Storm Info
  • Products
  • Satellite
  • Radar
  • Analyses/Forecasts
  • Hydrology
  • E-mail Updates
  • Help with Advisories
• Awareness
  • Preparedness
  • Weather School
  • Storm Names
  • Saffir-Simpson Scale
  • Glossary
  • Acronyms
  • FAQ
  • Breakpoints
• Hurricane History
  • Annual Summaries
  • Product Archive
  • Climatology
• About the CPHC
  • Our Mission
  • Our Office
  • News Items
  • HI RSS Feeds
• Contact Us
  • Webmaster
• Pacific Region Links
  • Regional HQ
  • WFO Honolulu
  • WFO Guam
  • WSO Pago Pago
  • Pacific Tsunami Warning Center
  • International Tsunami Information Center

NWS on Facebook

NWS on Twitter

Weather-Ready Nation

• NOAA
  • » NWS
    • » CPHC Home Page
      • » Wind speed probabilities

FOPA14 PHFO 261435
PWSCP4

TROPICAL STORM KENNETH PROBABILITIES NUMBER  48                     
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI                    
1500Z MON SEP 26 2005                                               
                                                                    
...THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR 2005...                      
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM                               
KENNETH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...                     
LONGITUDE 141.1 WEST WITH                                           
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  60 KTS... 70 MPH...110 KM/HR.         
 
CHANCES OF EXPERIENCING WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
 
Z INDICATES UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME (GREENWICH)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT
 
15N 145W       34  1   5( 6)  11(17)   5(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)
15N 145W       50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)
 
BUOY 50004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu 2am Thu
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
 HR POSITIONS  KT
 
 12 149N 1418W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 149N 1418W 50 36   7(43)   1(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
 12 149N 1418W 64  5   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
 24 154N 1428W 34 34  30(64)   5(69)   1(70)   X(70)   X(70)   X(70)
 24 154N 1428W 50  2  14(16)   3(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 24 154N 1428W 64  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
 36 162N 1440W 34  2  17(19)  19(38)   6(44)   1(45)   X(45)   X(45)
 36 162N 1440W 50  X   2( 2)   6( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 36 162N 1440W 64  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 48 171N 1454W 34  1   2( 3)  11(14)  11(25)   5(30)   1(31)   X(31)
 48 171N 1454W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 48 171N 1454W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 72 186N 1481W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   8(12)   2(14)   X(14)
 72 186N 1481W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
 72 186N 1481W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
 
 96 199N 1510W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)
 96 199N 1510W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 199N 1510W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 209N 1541W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
120 209N 1541W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 209N 1541W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     55     50      45      40      35      30      25
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER HOUSTON/DONALDSON 
         
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$