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FOPA14 PHFO 260835
PWSCP4

HURRICANE KENNETH PROBABILITIES NUMBER  47                          
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI                    
0900Z MON SEP 26 2005                                               
                                                                    
...THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR 2005...                      
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE                                    
KENNETH WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...                     
LONGITUDE 140.2 WEST WITH                                           
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  65 KTS... 75 MPH...120 KM/HR.         
 
CHANCES OF EXPERIENCING WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
 
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
 
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
   PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
 
Z INDICATES UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME (GREENWICH)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT
 
15N 145W       34  1   4( 5)   7(12)   7(19)   3(22)   X(22)   X(22)
15N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   8(14)   2(16)   X(16)
 
BUOY 50004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
 
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
 
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM  
  TIME       8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO   
             8am Thu 8pm Wed 8am Thu 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed 8pm Wed
 
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
 HR POSITIONS  KT
 
 12 151N 1409W 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 12 151N 1409W 50 48  10(58)   2(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)   X(60)
 12 151N 1409W 64 17   4(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
 
 24 154N 1418W 34 56  21(77)   5(82)   2(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
 24 154N 1418W 50  4  23(27)   6(33)   1(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 24 154N 1418W 64  1   7( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
 36 161N 1429W 34  6  28(34)  20(54)   6(60)   2(62)   1(63)   X(63)
 36 161N 1429W 50  X   4( 4)  11(15)   3(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 36 161N 1429W 64  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
 48 171N 1443W 34  2   3( 5)  16(21)  14(35)   7(42)   X(42)   X(42)
 48 171N 1443W 50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 48 171N 1443W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
 
 72 190N 1470W 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  13(18)   3(21)   X(21)
 72 190N 1470W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 72 190N 1470W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
 
 96 203N 1498W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)
 96 203N 1498W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 96 203N 1498W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
 
120 215N 1529W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)
120 215N 1529W 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
120 215N 1529W 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)
 
               - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND     65     60      55      50      45      35      30
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
 
                                                                    
FORECASTER HOUSTON                                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
$$