Wind speed probabilities
Requested PWSCP4.EP102009.020.0908170255 with times in HST
Display as UTC

FOPA14 PHFO 170255
PWSCP4

HURRICANE GUILLERMO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20             
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP102009         
500 pm HST Sun Aug 16 2009
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
20.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 141.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
65 KTS...75 MPH.                                        
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT  7 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       1       5      12      23      31      33
TROP DEPRESSION  1      15      30      38      39      39      36
TROPICAL STORM  87      78      60      45      36      28      30
HURRICANE       13       6       5       5       3       2       2
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1       12       6       4       4       3       2       2
HUR CAT 2        1       X       1       1       X       X       X
HUR CAT 3        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   55KT    45KT    40KT    35KT    30KT    25KT    25KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       2pm Sun 2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2pm Wed 2pm Thu
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             2am Mon 2pm Mon 2am Tue 2pm Tue 2pm Wed 2pm Thu 2pm Fri
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
20N 145W       34  3   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
25N 145W       34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
25N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
30N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   5(12)   1(13)
 
30N 175W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER KNABB