Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NWS United States Department of Commerce
Requested PWSCP4.EP092015.015.201508021440 with times in UTC
Display as HST

FOPA14 PHFO 021440
PWSCP4

HURRICANE GUILLERMO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15             
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP092015         
1500 UTC SUN AUG 02 2015                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUILLERMO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
14.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 143.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.                                        
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME     
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
15N 145W       34 96   3(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
15N 145W       50 62  21(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
15N 145W       64 28  29(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)   X(57)
 
20N 145W       34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
15N 150W       34  X   3( 3)  10(13)   9(22)   3(25)   X(25)   X(25)
15N 150W       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
20N 150W       34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   8(12)  14(26)   1(27)   X(27)
20N 150W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
20N 150W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
20N 151W       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)  20(29)   2(31)   X(31)
20N 151W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)
20N 151W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)  24(34)   3(37)   X(37)
BUOY 51004     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
BUOY 51004     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
20N 154W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  16(18)   9(27)   1(28)
20N 154W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)
20N 154W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
15N 155W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)
 
HILO           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  10(23)   2(25)
HILO           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)
HILO           64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
BRADSHAW AAF   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  11(21)   1(22)
BRADSHAW AAF   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)
 
18N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   6(13)   1(14)
 
SOUTH POINT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  10(19)   1(20)
SOUTH POINT    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
21N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  10(16)   3(19)
21N 156W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
KAILUA-KONA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  11(18)   2(20)
KAILUA-KONA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
KAHULUI        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)  10(14)   3(17)
KAHULUI        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
21N 158W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   3(12)
 
BARKING SANDS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)
 
HANA           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)   3(16)
 
KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   4(15)
 
BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)
 
HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   4(12)
 
JOINT BASE PHH 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   4(12)
 
LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)
 
20N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)
 
25N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
 
21N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
BUOY 51003     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
NIHOA          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
BUOY 51101     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER HOUSTON