FOPA14 PHFO 270243
PWSCP4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP032006
500 pm HST Tue Sep 26 2006
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-C WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 178.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH.
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 2pm Tue 2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
2am Wed 2pm Wed 2am Thu 2pm Thu 2pm Fri 2pm Sat 2pm Sun
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 122N 1799E 34 16 6(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
12 122N 1799E 50 2 X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
12 122N 1799E 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 128N 1779E 34 1 14(15) 6(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
24 128N 1779E 50 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
24 128N 1779E 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
36 134N 1759E 34 X 2( 2) 12(14) 4(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19)
36 134N 1759E 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
36 134N 1759E 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
48 138N 1735E 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 10(12) 5(17) X(17) X(17)
48 138N 1735E 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
48 138N 1735E 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
72 144N 1687E 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) X(12)
72 144N 1687E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
72 144N 1687E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
96 155N 1637E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8)
96 155N 1637E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
96 155N 1637E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
120 167N 1587E 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
120 167N 1587E 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
120 167N 1587E 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
$$
FORECASTER BROWNING