FOPA13 PHFO 242050
PWSCP3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOVA PROBABILITIES NUMBER 52
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI
2100Z SAT SEP 24 2005
...THIS IS AN EXPERIMENTAL PRODUCT FOR 2005...
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
JOVA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.2 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 154.2 WEST WITH
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS... 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR.
CHANCES OF EXPERIENCING WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT
LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT
Z INDICATES UNIVERSAL COORDINATED TIME (GREENWICH)
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES
GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT...
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HR POSITIONS KT
12 234N 1555W 34 4 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
12 234N 1555W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
12 234N 1555W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
24 237N 1575W 34 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
24 237N 1575W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
24 237N 1575W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X)
- - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 25 20 0 0 0 0 0
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
FORECASTER FARRELL
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